Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) – Fast Mover Confirmation, Upside Extension Under Review
December 12th, 2025 Update
Executive Overview
Alphabet has recently appeared on our scanner as a Fast Mover, and subsequent verification confirms that the signal is valid. Overall, GOOGL continues to track in line with our broader forecast, though recent price action has exceeded our prior upside expectations.
Price Behavior & Upside Structure
In our previous update, we targeted $290 as the primary upside objective. Price action has since extended beyond that level, indicating stronger-than-expected upside momentum.
At this stage, two upside reference points are now in play:
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$328, corresponding to the recent high
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A secondary upside extension, contingent on a sustained breakout above $328, potentially unfolding into January and is located at $360 (+/- $10)
This behavior reflects elevated upside energy rather than a breakdown in the existing cycle structure.
Trading Strategy & Positioning
Once the top is confirmed, we anticipate GOOGL to decline substantially toward the $150 area. Two primary trading pathways are now in focus:
Scenario 1 – Top Confirmed Near $328
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Await technical confirmation of a top.
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Specifically, we are looking for:
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A pullback followed by a bounce that fails below $328, and
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A subsequent reversal and acceleration lower, ideally aligned with broader market weakness.
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Upon confirmation of a breakdown, we would consider initiating a position targeting the $150 range.
Scenario 2 – Upside Extension to Secondary Target
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If GOOGL breaks and holds above $328, the probability increases for a push into $360 ± $10.
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In this case, we would look to initiate a short position near $360, with:
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Stop loss: ~$10 above entry, and
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Downside objective: $150, consistent with Scenario 1.
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The precise bottom will be confirmed once the final top structure is in place.
Conclusion
Alphabet remains technically strong and validated as a Fast Mover, but it is now entering a critical decision phase. Whether the top forms near $328 or extends toward $360, the broader setup points toward a significant decline into the $150 region once the topping process completes. Positioning should remain tactical, disciplined, and confirmation-based as this structure resolves.
