LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) – Analytical Report

Date: September 16, 2025

Forecast Overview

Our models have shifted LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) from the Super Equity category into the Fast Mover category due to the magnitude and time frame associated with the upcoming move.

• Projected Bottom: End of October 2025 (≈ October 27) near $46–47/share.
• Projected Upside: A run to approximately $130/share by August 2026, implying a potential gain of ~300%.

Technical & Cycle Analysis

• Multiple cycle clusters converge between late October and mid-November 2025, strengthening the case for a major bottom in this period.
• Geometry and cycle projections align around $44–47/share as the likely bottom zone, supported by the prior low of $47.55 on August 11, 2025 (potential double-bottom formation).
• Primary trading framework:
  • Entry: Around $47 (± $3). Go long at $49
  • Stop-Loss: $44.
• Secondary scenario: If the August 11 bottom already marked the low, confirmation would come on a break above $60/share. At that time we recommend a long entry.

Conclusion

LYB presents a high-upside opportunity with a likely cyclical bottom near $46–47/share by late October 2025, followed by a projected surge toward $130/share into August 2026. Investors should monitor for confirmation of the bottom, with $60 as a key breakout level – in case technical entry is needed.