4D Capital, L.P     

Fast Mover – 71 – CPRT

Copart Inc. (CPRT) – Analytical Update

Date: March 26, 2026

Overview

Copart remains one of the stocks on our fast mover list. In our prior setup, we initiated a position near the anticipated bottom; however, that position failed and our stop loss was triggered.

Despite this outcome, the core structure of our analysis remains unchanged. We continue to anticipate the formation of a major cycle bottom, followed by a substantial rally into a mid-cycle top projected for early 2027, and ultimately a major cycle top into 2029.

As a result, CPRT is being placed back into rotation for a new entry opportunity.


Cycle Outlook

It is now evident that the anticipated bottom has extended in time. Based on updated cycle work, the most likely window for the bottom is now projected around:

May 1, 2026 ± 30 calendar days

This wider time range introduces more variability but does not change the overall bullish outlook once the bottom is confirmed.


Price Targets

We are currently tracking two key downside levels:

  • Secondary level: ~$29.50 ± $0.50
  • Primary level (most likely): ~$27 ± $2

While the first level represents a tighter initial target, our base case is that this level is likely to be broken, with the stock moving into the broader $25–$29 range, where we expect the true bottom to form.


Trading Setup

Given the extended structure, the setup is now more variable than the initial December entry.

Primary strategy:

  • Entry: ~$28
  • Stop loss: ~$25.50

Secondary strategy (conditional):

  • If the stock bottoms near $29.50 and begins to rally, a technical entry may be taken on strength.

The exact entry will depend on confirmation of a reversal pattern within the projected time window.


Upside Projection

The upside target remains unchanged.
Once the bottom is established, we anticipate a move toward approximately:

$90 per share

This implies a potential return of ~200%+ from the expected bottom zone, likely into the early 2027 timeframe, with further upside into the longer-term 2029 cycle peak.


Conclusion

Although the initial trade was stopped out, the broader cycle structure for Copart remains intact. The bottom has extended in time, but the price targets and upside potential remain unchanged. We are now monitoring for a bottom formation within the May ±30-day window and within the $25–$29 range. Once confirmed, CPRT presents a renewed opportunity for a high-conviction long position with significant upside potential.

Copart Inc (CPRT) – Fast Mover
Date of Analysis: August 7th, 2025

Based on our proprietary quantitative models and advanced time-based analytical methodologies, we present the following forecast update for Copart Inc (CPRT) – Fast Mover Edition.

CPRT is moving into a major cycle bottom which will be followed by a major rally.

TIME: Major cycle composite arrives on September 16th, with a major cycle cluster arriving on December 2nd (most likely bottom).
PRICE: Our calculations suggest the stock will bottom at $40 (+/- $2).

Once the bottom is in CPRT will move into a major cycle top by September of 2026.  A price of $90 at that juncture is expected.

In summary, CPRT will soon bottom at $40 (+/- $2) around December 2nd. Then run up to $90 by September of 2026.